Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Jun 30, 12:00 AM ET
41.0¢(41% chance)
41¢
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Outcomes$64K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?No active orders
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Will any Anthropic Claude model 100%Yes
Will any Anthropic Claude model 41%Yes
Will any Anthropic Claude model 100%Yes
Will any Anthropic Claude model 100%Yes