Politics

China x India military clash by...?
0%
endedChina x India military clash by December 31?
China x India military clash by June 30?
LIVE
$240K Vol.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
0%
endedNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$285K Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
0%
endedUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$3M Vol.
Ukraine election called by...?
0%
endedUkraine election called in 2025?
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Will any country leave NATO by...?
0%
endedWill any country leave NATO in 2025?
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$1M Vol.
Ukraine election held by...?
0%
endedUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
0%
endedMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?
LIVE
$102K Vol.
What will happen before GTA VI?
100%
endedRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
LIVE
$22M Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
LIVE
$6M Vol.
Spain snap election called by...?
0%
endedSpain snap election called in 2025?
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$161K Vol.
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
0%
endedWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$5M Vol.
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
0%
endedTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
LIVE
$108K Vol.
US recognize Somaliland by...?
0%
endedUS recognize Somaliland in 2025?
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$12K Vol.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1%
chanceWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
LIVE
$1159M Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1%
chanceWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Person BG win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
LIVE
$599M Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
3%
chanceWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Person AN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
LIVE
$637M Vol.
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
50%
chanceWill Person K win the 2026 Republican Primary?
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
$17M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
48%
chanceWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
50%
chanceWill another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$7M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
46%
chance2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
LIVE
$7M Vol.
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
14%
chanceSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
LIVE
$937K Vol.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
50%
chanceWill Party K win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Party L win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$2M Vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
0%
endedWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
LIVE
$439K Vol.
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
0%
endedWill Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
LIVE
$6M Vol.
Colombia Presidential Election
0%
endedWill Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
LIVE
$30M Vol.
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
6%
chanceLIVE
$47K Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
0%
endedWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
0%
endedU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
LIVE
$594K Vol.
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
0%
endedIsrael x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
LIVE
$8M Vol.
French election called by...?
0%
endedFrench election called by December 31?
French election called by September 15?
LIVE
$1M Vol.
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
0%
endedIsraeli parliament dissolved by October 31?
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?
LIVE
$1M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
0%
endedWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
LIVE
$14M Vol.
Who will Bernie endorse?
30%
chanceWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
LIVE
$164K Vol.
Who will Trump endorse?
100%
endedWill Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Will Trump endorse Winsome Earle-Sears for VA-Gov by Nov 2 2025 ET?
LIVE
$217K Vol.
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
25%
chanceWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
LIVE
$582K Vol.
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
99%
chanceWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
LIVE
$3M Vol.
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
96%
chanceWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
LIVE
$151K Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election
0%
endedWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
LIVE
$86M Vol.
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
17%
chanceLIVE
$67K Vol.
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
4%
chanceWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
LIVE
$345K Vol.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
1%
chanceWill Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
LIVE
$8M Vol.
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
0%
endedWill the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
LIVE
$560K Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
0%
endedIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
LIVE
$3M Vol.
California Governor Election Winner
0%
endedWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
LIVE
$25M Vol.
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
71%
chanceWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
LIVE
$3M Vol.
Arizona Governor Election Winner
76%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$43K Vol.
Alabama Governor Election Winner
91%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$5K Vol.
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
5%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Will Option C win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$7K Vol.
Colorado Governor Election Winner
8%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$12K Vol.
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
7%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$4K Vol.
Florida Governor Election Winner
81%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Florida governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$19K Vol.
Georgia Governor Election Winner
47%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$38K Vol.
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
25%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$7K Vol.
Idaho Governor Election Winner
95%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$7K Vol.
Illinois Governor Election Winner
93%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Will Option C win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$5K Vol.
Iowa Governor Election Winner
68%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$36K Vol.
Kansas Governor Election Winner
59%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$7K Vol.
Maine Governor Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Option A win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Will Option E win the Maine governor race in 2026?
$9K Vol.

Maryland Governor Election Winner
6%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$16K Vol.
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
5%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Will Option D win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$31K Vol.
Michigan Governor Election Winner
83%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$183K Vol.
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
92%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$58K Vol.
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Option A win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
Will Option E win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
$8K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner
54%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$23K Vol.
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
30%
chanceWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$9K Vol.
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Option B win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Will Option F win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
$21K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner
87%
chanceWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the New York governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$76K Vol.
Ohio Governor Election Winner
50%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$95K Vol.
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
92%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$18K Vol.
Oregon Governor Election Winner
14%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Will Option D win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$17K Vol.
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
92%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$18K Vol.
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
87%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Will Option C win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$56K Vol.
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
93%
chanceWill the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$11K Vol.
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
84%
chanceWill the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$14K Vol.
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
25%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$4K Vol.
Texas Governor Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Option E win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will Option G win the Texas governor race in 2026?
$12K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner
81%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$21K Vol.
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
25%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$70K Vol.
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
5%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
LIVE
$6K Vol.
Alabama Senate Election Winner
6%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Will Person A win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$10K Vol.
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
3%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Will Person A win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$11K Vol.
Colorado Senate Election Winner
9%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Will Person B win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$35K Vol.
Delaware Senate Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Person A win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Will Person E win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
$12K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner
15%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Will Person D win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$26K Vol.
Idaho Senate Election Winner
93%
chanceWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Will Person B win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$16K Vol.
Illinois Senate Election Winner
95%
chanceWill the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Will Person A win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
LIVE
$25K Vol.












