Starmer out by...?

Dec 31, 12:00 PM ET

22.5¢(23% chance)

23¢

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Outcomes$29.3M Vol.

OutcomeChanceBuy

Starmer out in 2025?

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

23%

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

72%

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

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About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.