Geopolitics
China x India military clash by...?
0%
endedChina x India military clash by December 31?
China x India military clash by June 30?
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$240K Vol.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
0%
endedNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
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$285K Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
0%
endedUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
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$3M Vol.
Ukraine election called by...?
0%
endedUkraine election called in 2025?
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
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$2M Vol.
Will any country leave NATO by...?
0%
endedWill any country leave NATO in 2025?
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
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$1M Vol.
Ukraine election held by...?
0%
endedUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
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$2M Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
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$6M Vol.
US x Russia military clash by...?
0%
endedUS x Russia military clash by December 31?
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
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$682K Vol.
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
0%
endedWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
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$5M Vol.
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
0%
endedIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
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$2M Vol.
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture Sumy before October?
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?
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$715K Vol.
US recognize Somaliland by...?
0%
endedUS recognize Somaliland in 2025?
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
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$12K Vol.
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
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$2M Vol.
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
0%
endedWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
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$439K Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
0%
endedWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?
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$2M Vol.
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
0%
endedIsrael x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
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$8M Vol.
Israel military action against Damascus by...?
0%
endedIsrael strike on Damascus by September 30?
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?
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$184K Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
0%
endedWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
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$14M Vol.
Russian strike on Poland by...?
0%
endedRussian strike on Poland by September 30?
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
0%
endedNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
1%
chanceWill Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
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$8M Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
0%
endedIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
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$4M Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
0%
endedIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
LIVE
$3M Vol.
India strike on Pakistan by...?
0%
endedWill India strike Pakistan by Oct 31?
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?
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$949K Vol.
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
9%
chanceWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
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$18M Vol.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
0%
endedWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?
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$561K Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
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$1M Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
0%
endedWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
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$859K Vol.
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
0%
endedWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
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$3M Vol.
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
100%
endedWill Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
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$452K Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0%
endedWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
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$239K Vol.
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
10%
chanceWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
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$699K Vol.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12%
chanceWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
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$572K Vol.
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
7%
chanceWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
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$5M Vol.
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
0%
endedForeign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
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$614K Vol.
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
2%
chanceWill Trump deport less than 200k people?
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
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$107K Vol.
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
100%
endedWill Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
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$494K Vol.
U.S. nuclear test by...?
0%
endedWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
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$667K Vol.
Russia nuclear test by...?
0%
endedWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
LIVE
$1M Vol.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
16%
chanceU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
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$272K Vol.
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
5%
chanceWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
4%
chanceWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
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$316K Vol.Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
6%
chanceWill FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
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$141K Vol.
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
14%
chanceIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$2M Vol.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
0%
endedWill Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
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$7M Vol.
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
0%
endedWill the US strike 0 countries in 2026?
Will the US strike 2 countries in 2026?
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$2M Vol.
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
0%
endedAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by December 31, 2025?
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
LIVE
$14K Vol.
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
50%
chanceWill Party 21 win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
Will Party 23 win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
$90K Vol.
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
0%
endedU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
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$430K Vol.