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Israel military action against Damascus by...?

Jun 30, 12:00 AM ET

8.0¢(8% chance)
8¢
TradingView
Outcomes$184K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?
0%
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?
0%
Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?
0%
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
0%
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?
0%
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
8%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

Israel military action against Damascus by...?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Israel strike on Damascus by Sep
0%Yes
Israel strike on Damascus by Dec
0%Yes
Israel strike on Damascus by Oct
0%Yes
Israel strike on Damascus by Mar
0%Yes
Israel military action on Damasc
0%Yes