Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31, 12:00 AM ET

17.0¢(17% chance)

17¢

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Outcomes$273K Vol.

OutcomeChanceBuy

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

17%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

27%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

10%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?

16%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

12%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

13%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

12%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

18%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

11%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

14%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

28%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?

18%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?

22%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

13%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?

14%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?

14%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.