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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Mar 31, 12:00 AM ET

10.5¢(11% chance)
11¢
TradingView
Outcomes$14.2M Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
11%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela b
0%Yes
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela b
0%Yes
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela b
0%Yes
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela b
11%Yes