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What will happen before GTA VI?

Jul 31, 12:00 PM ET

56.5¢(56% chance)
56¢
TradingView
Outcomes$22.2M Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
100%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
56%
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
55%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
49%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
51%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
51%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
49%
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
66%
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
100%
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
50%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

What will happen before GTA VI?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before
100%Yes
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
56%Yes
New Playboi Carti Album before G
55%Yes
Will Jesus Christ return before
49%Yes
Trump out as President before GT
51%Yes