Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Oct 4, 12:00 AM ET
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No active orders
About
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualifyWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qWill Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Will Fernando Haddad qualify forWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify