Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
Dec 31, 12:00 AM ET
29.0¢(29% chance)
29¢
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Outcomes$94K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?No active orders
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
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