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Fed rate hike by...?

Oct 29, 12:00 AM ET

1.1¢(1% chance)
1¢
TradingView
Outcomes$153K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
1%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
16%
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
0%
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
4%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
28%

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About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fed rate hike by...?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeti
1%Yes
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026
16%Yes
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meet
0%Yes
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeti
4%Yes
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Me
28%Yes