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GPT-6 released by…?

Dec 31, 12:00 AM ET

12.5¢(13% chance)
13¢
TradingView
Outcomes$314K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?
0%
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
0%
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
13%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
87%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
55%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

GPT-6 released by…?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Will GPT-6 be released by Decemb
0%Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by March
0%Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by June 3
13%Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by Decemb
87%Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by Septem
55%Yes