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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Dec 31, 12:00 AM ET

10.5¢(11% chance)
11¢
TradingView
Outcomes$215K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?
100%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
11%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
4%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
25%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
41%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
25%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
10%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
36%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
38%

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Will the 10-year Treasury yield
100%Yes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield
11%Yes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield
4%Yes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield
25%Yes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield
41%Yes