OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Jun 30, 12:00 AM ET
64.5¢(65% chance)
65¢
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Outcomes$36K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?No active orders
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
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Will any OpenAI GPT model score 100%Yes
Will any OpenAI GPT model score 100%Yes
Will any OpenAI GPT model score 65%Yes
Will any OpenAI GPT model score 13%Yes