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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Dec 31, 12:00 AM ET

44.0¢(44% chance)
44¢
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Outcomes$95K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
44%
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
16%
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
17%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?
17%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
43%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
40%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
28%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
46%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
23%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
40%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
14%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
38%
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
52%
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
29%
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
32%
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
88%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
87%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
31%

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About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash

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5 Min15 Min1 Day
Will the US federal government t
44%Yes
Will the US federal government t
16%Yes
Will the US federal government t
17%Yes
Will the US federal government t
17%Yes
Will the US federal government t
43%Yes