Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jul 30, 12:00 AM ET

62.5¢(63% chance)

63¢

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Outcomes$527K Vol.

OutcomeChanceBuy

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

63%

Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

16%

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

32%

Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

10%

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

69%

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

37%

Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

28%

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

51%

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

23%

Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

28%

Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

53%

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About

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.