xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Jun 30, 12:00 AM ET
43.5¢(44% chance)
44¢
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Outcomes$21K Vol.
OutcomeChanceBuy
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?No active orders
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
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Will any xAI Grok model score at44%Yes
Will any xAI Grok model score at14%Yes
Will any xAI Grok model score at47%Yes
Will any xAI Grok model score at25%Yes